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2013-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 10.3% 89.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.5% 79.5% -
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Basabe * 30 4-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 8 9 -
A. White * 27 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 0 -
D. Marble * 27 3-9 2-6 0-1 3 4 2 1 4 8 5 -
M. Gesell * 20 2-3 0-1 5-5 3 1 2 1 3 9 10 -
A. Woodbury * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 2 5 -
E. May 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
A. Clemmons 20 3-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 3 0 5 6 2 -
J. Oglesby 18 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
Z. McCabe 12 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 7 6 -
G. Olaseni 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 1 2 4 2 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Appling * 39 6-15 1-6 0-0 2 1 2 2 4 13 1 -
A. Payne * 34 6-12 1-2 5-5 10 0 1 2 3 18 16 -
B. Dawson * 33 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 3 0 0 6 12 -
G. Harris * 30 4-10 1-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 2 13 4 -
D. Nix * 25 2-6 0-0 3-5 2 3 0 1 0 7 7 -
T. Trice II 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 0 2 -
D. Valentine 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 2 -2 -
M. Costello 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Gauna 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter