Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +23 (84-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Byrd * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Hammons * | 27 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 14 | - |
| R. Johnson * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 26 | 5-19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Lawson * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Hale | 23 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Davis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Carroll | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Anthrop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Toyra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Beshears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Marcius | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Harris * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 12 | - |
| K. Appling * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 27 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Nix * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Valentine * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Trice II | 23 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Payne | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| R. Byrd | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Gauna | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Costello | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter