Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deshaun Thomas * | 40 | 10-20 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Craft * | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Smith Jr. * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Sam Thompson * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amir Williams * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Evan Ravenel | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Shannon Scott | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| LaQuinton Ross | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 38 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 32 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Gary Harris * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Matt Costello | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter