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Indiana Fever

Also known as: Indiana Fever
Program History

2010 Team Stats (37 games)

77.9
PPG
74.2
Opp
+3.7
Margin
43.7%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
78.7%
FT%
32.3
RPG
16.3
APG
14.2
TO
76.9
Est. poss./game
77.3
Adj PPG
72.7
Adj Opp PPG
#2
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1025 (#5) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1086 (#4) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +61 elo More โ†’ 1032 (#4) HCA +61 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +4.7 (#2) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More โ†’ +3.4 (#4) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.635 (#2) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.660 (#2) AdjNet +5.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +5.8 More โ†’ 0.662 (#2) AdjNet +5.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.7 More โ†’ 0.602 (#2) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 72.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 74.5 More โ†’ 0.568 (#4) AdjO 77.5 | AdjD 74.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.595 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.588 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 95 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1067 (#5) RD 95 | GP 37

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-05-15 vs Washington Mystics L 65 - 72
2010-05-16 @ Atlanta Dream L 62 - 66
2010-05-22 @ Chicago Sky W 92 - 86
2010-05-23 vs Chicago Sky W 69 - 61
2010-05-29 @ Tulsa Shock L 74 - 79
2010-06-03 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 79 - 57
2010-06-05 vs New York Liberty W 78 - 73
2010-06-06 @ Minnesota Lynx W 89 - 51
2010-06-11 @ Connecticut Sun L 77 - 86
2010-06-13 vs Connecticut Sun W 77 - 67
2010-06-17 vs Seattle Storm W 72 - 65
2010-06-19 vs Atlanta Dream W 94 - 91
2010-06-25 @ Seattle Storm L 81 - 85
2010-06-27 @ Chicago Sky W 70 - 64
2010-06-29 @ Washington Mystics L 65 - 68
2010-07-06 @ Chicago Sky W 58 - 51
2010-07-08 vs Tulsa Shock W 100 - 72
2010-07-14 vs Connecticut Sun L 68 - 77
2010-07-16 vs Atlanta Dream W 89 - 70
2010-07-18 @ New York Liberty W 84 - 81
2010-07-22 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 76 - 57
2010-07-24 @ Washington Mystics W 78 - 73
2010-07-27 vs Chicago Sky W 78 - 74
2010-07-30 vs Washington Mystics L 73 - 77
2010-08-01 @ Atlanta Dream L 74 - 90
2010-08-03 vs New York Liberty L 72 - 82
2010-08-06 vs Atlanta Dream W 95 - 93
2010-08-08 @ Phoenix Mercury W 104 - 82
2010-08-10 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 82 - 76
2010-08-13 vs Phoenix Mercury W 110 - 90
2010-08-15 @ Connecticut Sun W 79 - 66
2010-08-17 @ New York Liberty L 57 - 78
2010-08-20 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 61 - 75
2010-08-22 vs Minnesota Lynx L 79 - 83
2010-08-26 @ New York Liberty L 73 - 85
2010-08-29 vs New York Liberty W 75 - 67
2010-09-01 @ New York Liberty L 74 - 77

2010 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Camby M. Camby - 37 31.9 18.2 7.2 3.9 2.3 0.9 2.6 12.8 17.1 - - - - 47.7 43.7 84.6 - 59.9 53.2
K. Douglas K. Douglas G 37 29.9 13.6 3.4 3.3 1.4 0.4 1.9 10.9 9.2 - - - - 44.9 38.8 83.1 - 57.1 53.7
T. Sutton-Brown T. Sutton-Brown C 37 26.0 8.2 5.1 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.7 6.8 8.2 - - - - 45.2 0.0 71.8 - 51.1 45.2
E. Hoffman E. Hoffman F 37 24.4 8.2 4.3 1.3 1.2 0.4 1.5 8.2 5.7 - - - - 38.9 31.8 85.4 - 47.1 43.6
J. Davenport J. Davenport C 38 14.7 7.4 3.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 5.2 5.9 - - - - 55.8 14.3 72.0 - 60.1 56.1
Briann January Briann January Forward 35 21.9 7.2 1.9 3.0 1.1 0.1 2.4 5.7 5.2 - - - - 36.0 34.4 81.0 - 51.0 41.5
S. Murphy S. Murphy F 17 15.8 6.6 4.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.4 5.8 5.7 - - - - 38.4 29.2 65.9 - 47.3 41.9
E. Thomas E. Thomas - 30 15.0 5.7 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 4.5 4.2 - - - - 37.0 26.9 75.6 - 49.8 39.6
Allie Quigley Allie Quigley G 5 12.4 5.2 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.2 1.2 4.2 4.4 - - - - 47.6 57.1 66.7 - 58.2 57.1
T. Bevilaqua T. Bevilaqua G 39 19.6 4.0 1.9 1.6 1.4 0.1 1.2 3.6 4.3 - - - - 38.3 34.1 60.0 - 50.6 48.9
A. Battle A. Battle NA 2 22.0 4.0 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 - - - - 25.0 0.0 100.0 - 41.0 25.0
J. Cheek J. Cheek NA 9 8.3 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.7 2.2 - - - - 54.2 33.3 83.3 - 61.9 58.3
J. Owino J. Owino NA 2 13.5 3.5 6.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 4.0 6.0 - - - - 37.5 0 25.0 - 35.9 37.5
J. Morris J. Morris G 26 8.3 3.1 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.8 1.2 - - - - 44.4 38.5 50.0 - 54.9 54.9
C. Wirth C. Wirth NA 2 12.5 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 0.5 - - - - 28.6 0.0 100.0 - 38.1 28.6
J. Moore J. Moore F 37 12.3 2.7 1.9 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.0 2.3 2.1 - - - - 43.0 0 84.4 - 50.5 43.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2010 Shot Zones

2431 located field-goal attempts in 39 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Sutton-Brown19% Davenport23% Camby26% Camby25% Camby32% Bevilaqua29% Douglas29% Douglas29% Douglas27% Douglas34%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Sutton-Brown20% Douglas16% Camby24% Camby18% Camby26% Douglas24% Bevilaqua28% Douglas28% Douglas37% Douglas24%
Misses: who misses most here

M. CambyK. DouglasT. Sutton-BrownJ. DavenportT. Bevilaqua

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 447-787 56.8 894 T. Sutton-Brown 19% (166 pts) M. Camby 18% (158 pts) T. Sutton-Brown 20% (69 misses) M. Camby 17% (57 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 97-258 37.6 194 J. Davenport 23% (44 pts) M. Camby 16% (32 pts) K. Douglas 16% (25 misses) E. Hoffman 13% (21 misses)
Mid-range left 105-303 34.7 210 M. Camby 26% (54 pts) K. Douglas 19% (40 pts) M. Camby 24% (47 misses) E. Hoffman 18% (35 misses)
Mid-range center 57-123 46.3 114 M. Camby 25% (28 pts) J. Davenport 18% (20 pts) M. Camby 18% (12 misses) T. Sutton-Brown 17% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 118-305 38.7 236 M. Camby 32% (76 pts) K. Douglas 18% (42 pts) M. Camby 26% (48 misses) E. Hoffman 14% (27 misses)
Left corner 3 21-66 31.8 63 T. Bevilaqua 29% (18 pts) J. Morris 24% (15 pts) K. Douglas 24% (11 misses) T. Bevilaqua 22% (10 misses)
Right corner 3 24-53 45.3 72 K. Douglas 29% (21 pts) T. Bevilaqua 29% (21 pts) T. Bevilaqua 28% (8 misses) K. Douglas 21% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 78-229 34.1 234 K. Douglas 29% (69 pts) M. Camby 22% (51 pts) K. Douglas 28% (42 misses) E. Hoffman 19% (29 misses)
Above-break 3 center 30-76 39.5 90 K. Douglas 27% (24 pts) M. Camby 27% (24 pts) K. Douglas 37% (17 misses) M. Camby 24% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 right 86-231 37.2 258 K. Douglas 34% (87 pts) M. Camby 26% (66 pts) K. Douglas 24% (35 misses) M. Camby 16% (23 misses)