Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +9 (86-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 32 | 5-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Catchings | 31 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 30 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 25 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Davenport | 19 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Murphy | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Zellous | 13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. January | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 32 | 10-20 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 29 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Charles | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24 | - |
| K. Lawson | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Gruda | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| A. Jones | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. White | 19 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Griffin | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Walker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter