๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2010-07-24

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.0% 19.0% - โœ“
Margin 73.3% 26.7% -5.6 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 69.6% 30.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.6% 36.4% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Briann January * 34 2-8 1-1 14-15 2 8 1 0 3 19 19 -
Katie Douglas * 32 5-12 1-5 2-3 3 1 2 0 2 13 5 -
Tamika Catchings * 30 5-11 0-1 2-5 5 5 1 1 1 12 12 -
Ebony Hoffman * 29 6-15 1-7 0-0 4 2 4 0 3 13 5 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 2 8 -
Jessica Davenport 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
Tully Bevilaqua 12 2-3 2-2 1-2 2 0 1 1 1 7 7 -
Jessica Moore 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Joy Cheek 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 38 5-6 0-0 5-7 13 0 1 0 1 15 22 -
Katie Smith * 34 5-13 2-7 5-6 3 2 1 0 5 17 5 -
Monique Currie * 29 2-10 1-4 9-10 7 2 2 0 1 14 14 -
Lindsey Harding * 27 5-10 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 4 10 4 -
Nakia Sanford * 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 5 6 1 -
Matee Ajavon 18 1-5 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
Chasity Melvin 18 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 1 5 6 -
Marissa Coleman 13 0-1 0-1 4-5 1 0 1 0 2 4 3 -

* = starter