Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 31 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Lawson | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. White | 25 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| A. Jones | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| T. Charles | 23 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| K. Griffin | 21 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Walker | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Douglas | 32 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 7 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Catchings | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 23 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 26 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Moore | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. January | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Zellous | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Davenport | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Morris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Murphy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter