Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 86.7% | 13.3% | -10.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Douglas * | 35 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Shay Murphy * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 19 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 23 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jene Morris | 12 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Hornbuckle * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chante Black * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Shanna Zolman * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Scholanda Dorrell * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kara Braxton * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Lacy | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Amber Holt | 22 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Plenette Pierson | 12 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Amanda Thompson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Marion Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter