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2010-08-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Catchings 35 8-12 6-7 3-4 5 3 0 0 6 25 15 -
K. Douglas 27 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 7 0 -
T. Sutton-Brown 25 1-2 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 1 2 6 9 -
B. January 22 2-10 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 4 -5 -
J. Davenport 21 3-6 0-1 3-3 3 0 1 1 1 9 7 -
S. Zellous 21 0-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
E. Hoffman 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 1 3 -
J. Moore 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 2 2 -
T. Bevilaqua 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Cheek 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Morris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mitchell 36 7-12 4-5 1-1 3 5 1 0 1 19 15 -
C. Pondexter 34 5-11 0-3 3-3 4 6 1 0 1 13 12 -
T. McWilliams-Franklin 31 5-7 0-0 4-4 10 2 1 0 3 14 17 -
J. McCarville 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 6 2 -
E. Carson 23 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 8 6 -
N. Powell 22 4-9 2-7 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
P. Pierson 14 2-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 1 6 3 -
K. Vaughn 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Greene 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Blue 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter