Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (68-77). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles * | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Tan White * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kelsey Griffin * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sandrine Gruda | 25 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Allison Hightower | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kerri Gardin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeMya Walker | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 31 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 24 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Briann January | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jene Morris | 9 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter