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2010-07-14

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 28.4% 71.6% -
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% -

Actual: Indiana Fever -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gruda 26 6-11 0-1 9-9 6 0 0 2 2 21 16 -
T. Charles 26 6-11 0-0 2-2 6 4 1 2 1 14 15 -
K. Lawson 25 1-6 0-4 5-6 7 5 0 0 0 7 13 -
K. Griffin 23 1-6 0-2 3-4 8 0 1 0 3 5 5 -
T. White 22 3-7 2-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 10 6 -
A. Hightower 18 3-5 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 8 8 -
A. Jones 17 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 3 6 5 -
R. Montgomery 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 -1 -
K. Gardin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Walker 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Douglas 32 5-12 3-8 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
T. Catchings 31 7-17 2-6 6-6 9 2 4 2 1 22 21 -
T. Sutton-Brown 27 1-6 0-0 1-2 6 1 2 2 4 3 4 -
E. Hoffman 25 4-10 1-5 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 11 4 -
B. January 24 3-9 1-3 4-6 4 3 1 0 2 11 8 -
T. Bevilaqua 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 0 -
S. Zellous 14 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Morris 10 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Moore 10 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Davenport 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter