Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +20 (110-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | - |
| C. Dupree | 31 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Johnson | 29 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| P. Taylor | 28 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Smith | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Braxton | 21 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Lilley | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Holmes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 30 | 10-16 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 23 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 29 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| K. Douglas | 28 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. January | 20 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Davenport | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| S. Zellous | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Moore | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Morris | 9 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J. Cheek | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter