Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✗ (47.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -38 (51-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 25 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 23 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 19 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Shay Murphy | 17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jene Morris | 16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candice Wiggins * | 33 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nicky Anosike * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rashanda McCants * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Monica Wright | 21 | 1-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Quanitra Hollingsworth | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Charde Houston | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nuria Martinez | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter