Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -13 (66-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 36 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 23 | - |
| K. Douglas | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Zellous | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | - |
| J. Moore | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Davenport | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. January | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | 38 | 3-17 | 1-9 | 5-5 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Charles | 38 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| K. Lawson | 34 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Jones | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. White | 26 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| K. Griffin | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Gruda | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Jekabsone-Zogota | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Gardin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter