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2010-06-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.6% 38.4% - โœ“
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 โœ— (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago Sky -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Katie Douglas * 26 4-11 2-4 0-0 4 4 3 0 1 10 9 -
Tamika Catchings * 25 1-9 1-2 1-2 6 4 2 1 2 4 6 -
Ebony Hoffman * 23 5-10 3-4 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 13 9 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 21 0-5 0-0 4-4 1 0 1 1 2 4 0 -
Tully Bevilaqua * 20 3-6 2-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
Jessica Moore 22 4-6 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 10 7 -
Briann January 19 2-7 1-3 3-4 2 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
Jene Morris 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 3 2 -
Jessica Davenport 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shavonte Zellous 8 3-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 6 -
Shay Murphy 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sylvia Fowles * 36 2-5 0-0 7-10 17 0 1 3 3 11 24 -
Jia Perkins * 29 1-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 2 -2 -
Cathrine Kraayeveld * 27 2-5 2-5 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 8 5 -
Tamera Young * 22 2-11 0-3 4-6 5 2 1 0 2 8 3 -
Dominique Canty * 21 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Epiphanny Prince 23 3-12 2-5 1-1 2 3 2 0 0 9 4 -
Erin Thorn 22 5-8 5-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 15 12 -
Mistie Bass 14 2-2 0-0 1-3 1 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
Sandora Irvin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter