Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +14 (75-61). Ratings: 2011 season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua * | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Shavonte Zellous | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Briann January | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jessica Davenport | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jene Morris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 34 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Edwige Lawson-Wade * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Roneeka Hodges * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Ashley Battle | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Helen Darling | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter