Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -22 (82-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Catchings | 33 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| K. Douglas | 30 | 11-17 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 28 | - |
| J. Davenport | 24 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 23 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| B. January | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| T. Bevilaqua | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Hoffman | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Moore | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Morris | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 33 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 33 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| P. Taylor | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 31 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Braxton | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| D. Bonner | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| S. Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Lilley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter