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Air Force

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History
Coach: Joe Scott

2013 Team Stats (6 games)

74.7
PPG
67.8
Opp
+2.2
Margin
47.0%
FG%
40.5%
3P%
72.1%
FT%
24.5
RPG
17.0
APG
8.8
TO
71.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 955 (#653) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1104 (#310) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 1023 (#139) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +19.4 (#240) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +9.7 (#148) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.335 (#85) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.4 More → 0.263 (#151) NetEff -10.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.349 (#80) AdjNet -5.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.9 More → 0.336 (#81) AdjNet -5.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 65.4 More → 0.542 (#162) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 65.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.757 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.720 (#123) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 32 More → 1164 (#78) RD 109 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Army Black Knights W 76 - 65
2012-11-11 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 77 - 70
2012-11-15 vs Western State Colorado University Mountaineers W 102 - 68
2012-11-18 vs Regis Univ Rangers W 83 - 43
2012-11-21 vs Montana State Bobcats W 86 - 72
2012-11-25 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 74 - 89
2012-11-28 vs Jackson State Tigers W 76 - 47
2012-12-02 vs Wichita State Shockers L 69 - 72
2012-12-08 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 65 - 49
2012-12-22 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 61 - 53
2012-12-29 @ Florida Gators L 61 - 78
2013-01-02 @ Richmond Spiders L 68 - 91
2013-01-09 vs Nevada Wolf Pack W 78 - 65
2013-01-12 @ UNLV Rebels L 71 - 76
2013-01-16 @ Colorado State Rams L 40 - 79
2013-01-19 vs Boise State Broncos W 91 - 80
2013-01-23 vs New Orleans Privateers W 90 - 48
2013-01-26 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 57 - 48
2013-01-30 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 62 - 50
2013-02-02 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 70 - 67
2013-02-06 @ New Mexico Lobos L 58 - 81
2013-02-09 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 69 - 74
2013-02-13 vs UNLV Rebels W 71 - 56
2013-02-16 vs Colorado State Rams L 86 - 89
2013-02-20 @ Boise State Broncos L 65 - 77
2013-02-26 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 72 - 66
2013-03-02 @ Fresno State Bulldogs L 41 - 56
2013-03-06 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 51 - 58
2013-03-09 vs New Mexico Lobos W 89 - 88
2013-03-13 @ UNLV Rebels L 56 - 72
2013-03-20 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 69 - 65
2013-03-23 @ Weber State Wildcats L 57 - 78

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Lyons M. Lyons G 30 31.6 17.7 3.9 2.3 1.0 0.1 1.9 8.2 15.0 219 6.3 9.0 50.6 31.7 67.1 0.67 95.6 57.3
M. Fitzgerald M. Fitzgerald F 32 29.3 9.9 4.0 1.7 0.8 0.1 1.4 3.3 11.8 -12 -0.4 -0.6 51.4 38.6 85.4 0.15 126.8 59.3
T. Fletcher T. Fletcher G 32 32.0 9.5 2.9 3.7 1.1 0.0 1.2 3.9 12.1 -32 -1.0 -1.5 55.2 51.5 50.0 0.21 117.5 69.2
T. Broekhuis T. Broekhuis C 32 25.2 8.3 3.9 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 3.1 10.4 31 1.0 1.7 51.0 34.6 54.3 0.63 115.7 55.5
K. Green K. Green G 32 17.0 5.4 1.6 1.6 0.6 0.0 1.2 2.0 6.0 40 1.2 3.0 23.4 22.2 77.3 0.8 118.1 31.2
C. Michael C. Michael G 21 9.9 4.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.7 55 2.6 8.4 60.6 45.5 83.3 0.94 120.7 75.8
D. Earls D. Earls F 32 14.2 3.9 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 1.3 1.8 5.9 50 1.6 4.7 60.7 57.1 45.0 0.87 97.2 67.9
M. Olesinski M. Olesinski F 31 10.9 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.3 3.9 0 0.0 0.0 41.0 47.6 50.0 0.28 134.2 53.8
K. Williams K. Williams F 30 11.5 3.3 2.4 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.4 5.3 210 6.2 7.9 58.1 57.1 71.4 1.72 95.7 62.8
J. Hammonds J. Hammonds F 22 8.3 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.4 4.6 -40 -1.8 -6.6 66.7 50.0 66.7 -0.16 213.6 72.2
M. Yon M. Yon G 26 8.9 2.7 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.3 2.7 -42 -1.6 -5.4 44.1 20.0 100.0 -0.5 98.9 47.1
T. Coggins T. Coggins G 31 10.1 2.4 1.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.8 3.8 59 1.9 5.8 48.0 35.7 78.6 0.8 117.1 58.0
E. Michael E. Michael F 8 4.2 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.6 24 2.7 27.6 50.0 0 33.3 0.28 82.8 50.0
C. Kammerer C. Kammerer F 14 3.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 10 0.7 5.6 42.9 0.0 50.0 0.14 57.1 42.9
Z. Moer Z. Moer C 6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG