Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Army Black Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Army Black Knights -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 25 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 24 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| K. Green * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Yon | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Earls | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Michael | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Coggins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ellis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 23 | - |
| J. Herbeck * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T. Plomb * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Cox * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Springer * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| K. Ferguson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Gramling | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Lenox | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Toomey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Stire | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter