Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.9% | 22.1% | -6.9 | ✗ (21.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +15 (71-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Reinhardt * | 37 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Birch * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Hawkins * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Moser | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Goodman | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Cook | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 38 | 11-21 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 13 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 36 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 36 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Earls * | 20 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Williams | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Green | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| T. Coggins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter