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2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.2 (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -9 (48-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 1 6 15 -
T. Broekhuis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 2 16 26 -
M. Fitzgerald * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 6 12 -
M. Lyons * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 11 17 -
D. Earls * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 10 15 -
K. Green 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
J. Hammonds 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Yon 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
T. Coggins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Olesinski 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nance Jr. * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 6 15 -
R. Grabau * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 3 8 -
D. Gilmore * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 2 15 22 -
L. Washington * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 3 1 19 32 -
J. Adams * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 0 -1 -
N. Sobey 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
D. Cooke Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. McManamen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter