Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Wyoming Cowboys | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -9 (48-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 38 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +12.8 |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +12.0 |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +13.3 |
| Michael Lyons * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +12.8 |
| DeLovell Earls * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +8.4 |
| Kyle Green | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1.6 |
| Justin Hammonds | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Max Yon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Tre Coggins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.7 |
| Marek Olesinski | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.4 |
| Kamryn Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
Wyoming Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Nance Jr. * | 40 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -7.2 |
| Riley Grabau * | 38 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Derrious Gilmore * | 37 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Leonard Washington * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 20 | -5.0 |
| Josh Adams * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | -16.4 |
| Nathan Sobey | 20 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +6.2 |
| Derek Cooke Jr. | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Jason McManamen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.1 |
* = starter