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Air Force Falcons 40
@
Colorado State Rams 79
2013-01-16

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 4.7% 95.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.0 ✓ (25.0 off)
Pythagorean 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.9% 98.1% - ✓

Actual: Colorado State Rams +39 (79-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 9 -
M. Fitzgerald * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
M. Lyons * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 8 5 -
D. Earls * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 1 2 -
T. Broekhuis * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Williams 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 2 5 -
M. Yon 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
M. Olesinski 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
K. Green 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
T. Coggins 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
C. Michael 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Hammonds 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
C. Kammerer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Z. Moer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 5 14 -
G. Smith * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 3 8 17 -
P. Hornung * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 12 22 -
C. Iverson * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 15 21 -
W. Eikmeier * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 17 22 -
J. Octeus 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 10 17 -
D. Bejarano 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 11 -
G. Santo 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. De Ciman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Mason 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Morgan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter