Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Biglow * | 29 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| P. Egwuonwu * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| F. Davis * | 22 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| M. Colbert * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Stewart * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| X. Blount | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| E. Norman | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Coleman | 18 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Dison | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Robison | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Brumwell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Budinich | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 37 | 11-15 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 23 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Green * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Michael | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Yon | 15 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| T. Coggins | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Williams | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Michael | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter