Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| M. Lyons | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Williams | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Earls | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Green | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Coggins | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Yon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Michael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| X. Thames | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| J. Franklin | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 32 | - |
| J. Rahon | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| W. Shepard | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Stephens | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - |
| S. Spencer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Castleberry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Douglas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter