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2013-03-06

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 12.2% 87.8% -
Margin 3.3% 96.7% +18.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 29.9% 70.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +7 (58-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 6 13 -
M. Lyons 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 10 16 -
M. Fitzgerald 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
K. Williams 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 5 -
M. Olesinski 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 7 7 -
D. Earls 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 3 6 11 -
T. Broekhuis 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
K. Green 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Coggins 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Hammonds 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Yon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. Kammerer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Michael 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 10 16 -
X. Thames 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 11 18 -
J. Franklin 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 4 2 3 3 12 32 -
J. Rahon 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 5 9 -
J.J. O'Brien 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 12 18 -
W. Shepard 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 5 9 -
D. Stephens 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 3 11 -
S. Spencer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Castleberry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Ebrahimian 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Douglas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter