Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.2% | 18.8% | -8.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Burton * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 23 | - |
| J. Burris * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Evans, Jr. * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | - |
| K. Panzer * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - |
| M. Story * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | - |
| P. Nyeko | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Elliott | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Coleman | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Huff | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 40 | - |
| D. Earls * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yon | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| K. Green | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Coggins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter