Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.3% | 1.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.7% | 9.3% | -12.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 35 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 23 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -2 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| W. Shepard | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Spencer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Polee II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 38 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 36 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Earls * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Williams | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Green | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Coggins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Yon | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter