Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | -10.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -17.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.7% | 19.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -7 (70-77). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Fletcher * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 39 | -4.3 |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Kyle Green * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 22 | -1.9 |
| Max Yon | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -13.8 |
| Marek Olesinski | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Cameron Michael | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| DeLovell Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.6 |
| Kamryn Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Tre Coggins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.3 |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Groselle * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | +3.2 |
| Marshall Harris III * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +7.4 |
| Lawrence Miller * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 21 | +6.8 |
| C.J. Bray * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | +4.1 |
| Matt Van Scyoc * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1 | -1.4 |
| Quinton Marshall | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Ashton Moore | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +0.5 |
| Dylen Setzekorn | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Stephen Elmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Janeil Jenkins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3.5 |
* = starter