Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✗ (20.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Watkins * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 38 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| D. Marks * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J. Hanstad * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Thompson | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - |
| J. Ness | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 47 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 27 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Earls * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Williams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| T. Coggins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Green | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Yon | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter