Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +15 (89-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 37 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Green * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Earls | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Yon | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Michael | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Coggins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Michael | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Booker * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Dinwiddie * | 31 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| J. Scott * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - |
| A. Roberson * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 25 | - |
| S. Chen * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| E. Stalzer | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Adams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| X. Johnson | 10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| X. Talton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter