Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +16 (72-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D. Earls * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Lyons * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| K. Green | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 20 | - |
| C. Michael | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| K. Williams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Coggins | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Yon | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| M. Moser * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 21 | - |
| B. Dejean-Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| A. Bennett * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| K. Reinhardt * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| K. Birch | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| D. Cook | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter