Model Predictions
| Model | LSU New Orleans Privateers | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +42 (90-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LSU New Orleans Privateers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rarlensee Nelson * | 31 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 5 | -9.9 |
| Lovell Cook * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -10.2 |
| Tradarrius McPhearson * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.3 |
| Maurice County * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -19.3 |
| Eddie Denard * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.4 |
| Isaac Mack | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -12.7 |
| Max Banchy | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -13.7 |
| Cory Dixon | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -15.9 |
| Kevin Hill | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -13.6 |
| Evans Ganapamo | 9 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Travis Avery | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| John Reese | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 26 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 15 | +11.6 |
| Todd Fletcher * | 21 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +9.4 |
| Michael Lyons * | 18 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +5.1 |
| DeLovell Earls * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Justin Hammonds | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +21.2 |
| Tre Coggins | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | +12.4 |
| Kamryn Williams | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +11.9 |
| Max Yon | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +8.2 |
| Cameron Michael | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +13.4 |
| Kyle Green | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -3.7 |
| Marek Olesinski | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Chase Kammerer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +11.6 |
| Zach Moer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.4 |
* = starter