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2013-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 10.1% 89.9% -
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.7% 92.3% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 14 15 -
M. Lyons * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 10 16 -
M. Fitzgerald * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 4 8 -
T. Broekhuis * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 11 17 -
D. Earls * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Williams 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 7 13 -
K. Green 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 3 3 -
M. Olesinski 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
M. Yon 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 5 -
T. Coggins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Hammonds 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
C. Michael 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Elorriaga * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 17 24 -
D. Marks * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 9 1 2 1 11 23 -
A. Drmic * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 23 29 -
R. Watkins * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 2 6 15 -
I. Hadziomerovic * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
M. Thompson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
K. Buckner 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 6 14 -
T. Bropleh 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 10 12 -
J. Hanstad 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter