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UC Santa Barbara

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
Program History
Coach: Joe Pasternack

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

76.6
PPG
72.7
Opp
+3.9
Margin
46.5%
FG%
36.9%
3P%
76.1%
FT%
34.9
RPG
13.9
APG
12.9
TO
77.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 973 (#200) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1015 (#164) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → 986 (#199) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → +0.5 (#159) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → -0.2 (#174) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.581 (#135) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → 0.510 (#162) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → 0.514 (#155) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted More → Unavailable ValueError: actual possession inputs unavailable: efficiency fit failed: ValueError: invalid actual efficiency statistic: fg_attempted
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → 963 (#210) -

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs San Francisco State Gators W 98 - 67
2025-11-08 vs San José State Spartans W 85 - 74
2025-11-11 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 92 - 87
2025-11-17 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 74 - 78
2025-11-22 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 64 - 77
2025-11-24 vs Nobel Knights W 84 - 49
2025-11-28 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 72 - 70
2025-11-29 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 74 - 71
2025-12-04 vs Long Beach State Beach W 84 - 77
2025-12-13 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 53 - 68
2025-12-17 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 64 - 67
2025-12-22 vs Portland Pilots W 79 - 61
2026-01-01 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 84 - 95
2026-01-03 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 65 - 74
2026-01-08 vs UC Davis Aggies L 86 - 93
2026-01-15 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 75 - 69
2026-01-22 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 107 - 67
2026-01-24 @ Long Beach State Beach W 74 - 71
2026-01-29 @ UC San Diego Tritons W 62 - 48
2026-01-31 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 83 - 69
2026-02-05 @ UC Davis Aggies L 75 - 85
2026-02-07 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 84 - 79
2026-02-12 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 76 - 68
2026-02-14 @ Cal Poly Mustangs L 79 - 89
2026-02-19 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors L 83 - 85
2026-02-21 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 75 - 78
2026-02-26 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 70 - 59
2026-02-28 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 60 - 64
2026-03-07 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 63 - 64
2026-03-11 @ UC Davis Aggies L 73 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Mahaney A. Mahaney - 30 33.7 14.4 1.8 2.6 0.7 0.1 1.3 12.1 6.2 84 3.8 5.9 41.7 35.7 81.0 0.11 54.3 50.7
Cj Shaw Cj Shaw - 30 29.1 12.3 2.0 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.9 7.8 8.2 70 3.2 6.5 51.5 44.6 81.5 0.01 65.8 60.3
C. Smith C. Smith - 29 29.8 12.0 4.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 1.8 7.9 8.6 -10 -2.5 -94.9 45.2 41.4 79.2 -0.27 61.7 55.2
M. Little M. Little - 17 28.8 12.0 5.5 4.6 1.2 0.4 2.2 7.5 14.1 93 4.9 9.9 46.9 32.1 82.5 0.71 62.5 53.9
Zion Sensley Zion Sensley G 30 25.1 10.7 7.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.9 8.8 9.8 65 3.0 6.4 43.2 35.1 81.6 -0.34 56.4 53.4
H. Kitenge H. Kitenge - 30 20.8 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.7 0.6 2.1 5.6 7.4 53 2.4 6.2 53.9 28.6 62.1 0.27 56.9 54.5
Jason Fontenet Ii Jason Fontenet Ii G 5 26.6 6.6 5.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 2.2 6.4 5.4 33 4.7 12.0 34.4 20.0 47.4 0.05 40.9 37.5
M. McGhee IV M. McGhee IV G 26 20.9 6.4 4.3 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.1 4.4 7.6 63 3.3 9.3 47.8 40.8 86.2 0.49 65.0 61.3
Zachiah Clark Zachiah Clark G 14 8.9 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.1 18 1.4 9.1 40.0 35.3 72.7 -0.25 52.7 48.6
E. Kipruto E. Kipruto - 26 8.7 2.3 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.2 3.4 69 3.5 18.4 65.6 0 72.0 0.54 69.8 65.6
K. Keat Tong K. Keat Tong F 15 6.3 2.0 1.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 3.0 7 0.7 4.2 58.8 100.0 69.2 -0.21 66.0 61.8
Michael Simcoe Michael Simcoe - 29 9.0 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.5 12 0.5 3.4 45.8 10.0 50.0 -0.33 48.5 46.9
Kyle Haughy Kyle Haughy - 3 2.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.7 -2 -0.5 -51.6 100.0 0 0.0 -0.01 69.4 100.0
Luke Zuffelato Luke Zuffelato - 9 7.6 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.7 -0.3 19 3.2 62.1 20.0 8.3 50.0 -0.15 25.2 23.3
I. Shingange I. Shingange - 3 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1.3 -3 -0.8 -27.1 0 0 0 -0.02 0 0
Bryce Bedgood Bryce Bedgood F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
John Simcoe John Simcoe - 3 4.0 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.7 3 0.6 77.4 0 0 0 -0.01 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG