Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.8% | 77.2% | +6.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | -17.7 |
| J. Foxwell | 30 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -21.1 |
| M. Ballew | 29 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | -11.1 |
| T. George | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -14.7 |
| J. O'Donnell | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -9.6 |
| M. Hronsky | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -1.2 |
| J. Ballisager Webb | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -8.9 |
| G. Nuckolls | 18 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +5.2 |
| D. Censori-Hercules | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shaw | 34 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +12.7 |
| A. Mahaney | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +15.9 |
| C. Smith | 29 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +20.1 |
| Z. Sensley | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | +16.0 |
| E. Kipruto | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | +18.8 |
| M. McGhee IV | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | +10.1 |
| H. Kitenge | 17 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Z. Clark | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| M. Simcoe | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4.3 |
| K. Keat Tong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.2 |
| L. Zuffelato | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
* = starter