Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arington * | 36 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -1.1 |
| W. Heimbrodt * | 34 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 18 | +2.1 |
| J. Yeo * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | -1.4 |
| B. Maldonado * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | -3.9 |
| H. Dan * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +3.7 |
| A. Maurer | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.8 |
| M. Amos | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +3.3 |
| J. Christofilis | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.9 |
| J. Murphy | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -9.8 |
| B. Felder | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | +6.4 |
| C. Smith * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +5.5 |
| M. Little * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | +6.0 |
| Z. Sensley * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | +0.2 |
| H. Kitenge * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | +15.5 |
| C. Shaw | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +1.7 |
| M. Simcoe | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +0.9 |
| M. McGhee IV | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -14.0 |
| E. Kipruto | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Z. Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter