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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Utah Valley Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.4% 78.6% -
Log Adjusted 21.3% 78.7% -
Points Off/Def 33.9% 66.1% -

Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +15 (68-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Shaw 35 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 3 2 1 -14.7
A. Mahaney 34 1-12 0-2 3-3 2 2 1 0 2 5 -4 -14.6
C. Smith 31 3-9 1-4 3-4 3 1 2 1 4 10 4 -6.9
Z. Sensley 27 4-10 0-3 0-0 10 0 1 0 2 8 7 -9.4
H. Kitenge 21 2-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 2 0 4 4 0 -4.8
M. McGhee IV 18 2-2 2-2 2-2 4 0 3 0 0 8 13 +3.4
E. Kipruto 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 6 6 -0.8
K. Keat Tong 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -6.6
Z. Clark 8 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 +1.7
M. Simcoe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hendricks 36 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 13 10 +17.9
T. Leonhardt 36 2-5 0-0 4-5 9 10 3 2 6 8 21 +13.5
N. Taitz 31 4-10 2-6 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 12 8 +11.8
I. Davis 25 3-11 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 7 -1 +2.0
J. Holcombe 25 1-6 0-1 4-4 11 1 3 2 2 6 15 -2.5
H. Welling 21 6-11 3-6 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 18 9 +11.1
S. Weatherspoon IV 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -1.1
I. Hawkins 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 4 6 +6.5
T. Medaris 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 +1.9

* = starter