Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Green Bay Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.3% | 36.7% | -3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Green Bay Phoenix +3 (67-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shaw | 36 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +5.4 |
| A. Mahaney | 35 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | +2.5 |
| M. McGhee IV | 34 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -1.8 |
| C. Smith | 32 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Z. Sensley | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -12.9 |
| H. Kitenge | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Z. Clark | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -6.6 |
| K. Keat Tong | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| M. Simcoe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.4 |
| E. Kipruto | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +1.8 |
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Ruedinger | 38 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | +4.0 |
| M. Hall | 35 | 9-11 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 18 | +4.9 |
| L. Thomas | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +7.8 |
| C. Wilkins | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -0.0 |
| J. Allen | 21 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | +1.8 |
| C.J. O'Hara | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
| R. Bethea | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -2.2 |
| M. Wrecke | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
| K. Van Kauwenberg | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +0.5 |
* = starter