Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Little | 35 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -1.1 |
| A. Mahaney | 35 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +5.9 |
| C. Smith | 28 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +13.7 |
| C. Shaw | 28 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -8.0 |
| Z. Sensley | 24 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -1.4 |
| E. Kipruto | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| H. Kitenge | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | -2.8 |
| M. McGhee IV | 10 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -8.6 |
| K. Keat Tong | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.9 |
| M. Simcoe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.5 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sykes | 39 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.7 |
| I. Lewis | 29 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| P. Majstorovic | 29 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | +5.7 |
| L. Levillain | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | -5.4 |
| S. Bender | 21 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | +15.6 |
| R. Diaz III | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -15.3 |
| C. Farrell | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -15.2 |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Washington | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -5.0 |
| D. Xzavierro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
* = starter