Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney | 39 | 3-15 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Little | 34 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Shaw | 29 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| C. Smith | 29 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| H. Kitenge | 25 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. McGhee IV | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Z. Sensley | 18 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Keat Tong | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 37 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| I. Chappell | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| B. Fagbemi | 28 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Wilson | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| N. Rocak | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Franklin Jr. | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter