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2025-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 25.2% 74.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% -
Log Adjusted 17.0% 83.0% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +7 (84-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Majstorovic 44 4-8 1-4 3-4 4 1 2 0 2 12 9 +3.9
G. Sykes 35 8-21 4-11 4-5 3 0 0 0 1 24 5 +3.1
I. Lewis 32 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 2 1 2 0 2 -
S. Bender 25 6-16 1-3 6-7 5 3 0 0 1 19 10 +0.7
D. Johnson Jr. 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 2 4 -
D. Xzavierro 17 2-4 0-0 4-5 10 0 0 1 3 8 12 +2.5
C. Farrell 17 1-6 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 0 0 4 2 +2.7
C. Jones 14 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 6 4 -
R. Diaz III 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 3 +0.2
JJ Chaikovsky 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 +0.1

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mahaney 40 7-16 1-5 11-11 6 3 0 0 2 26 17 -3.3
C. Smith 34 3-8 2-6 10-11 4 0 3 0 2 18 15 +1.4
Z. Sensley 33 5-11 4-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 14 9 -3.3
C. Shaw 30 1-4 0-2 5-8 2 1 0 0 1 7 5 -4.8
M. McGhee IV 28 1-3 1-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 0 3 9 -4.8
H. Kitenge 22 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 8 4 -0.8
E. Kipruto 15 1-1 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 0 2 7 8 -0.4
M. Little 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 1 3 +1.5
M. Simcoe 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2.2
Z. Clark 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0

* = starter