Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney | 36 | 8-15 | 4-11 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 12 | -2.8 |
| C. Shaw | 33 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 4 | +3.4 |
| Z. Sensley | 31 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -0.4 |
| M. McGhee IV | 26 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +4.3 |
| H. Kitenge | 23 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -5.3 |
| C. Smith | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -3.4 |
| M. Simcoe | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +3.9 |
| Z. Clark | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3.9 |
| E. Kipruto | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Ward | 38 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 9 | -0.3 |
| C. Williams | 35 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. De La Cruz Monegro | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 14-14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | -0.2 |
| K. De Luna | 28 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.1 |
| B. Cofield | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | -0.3 |
| K. Garris | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | -4.4 |
| L. Seaman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +4.2 |
| D. White | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter