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2026-01-01

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 54.0% 46.0% -0.9 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% -
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% -
Points Off/Def 50.1% 49.9% -

Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +11 (95-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mahaney 36 8-15 4-11 3-3 0 4 1 0 1 23 12 -2.8
C. Shaw 33 6-8 3-5 3-3 1 1 1 0 9 18 4 +3.4
Z. Sensley 31 4-12 4-10 2-2 11 1 0 0 2 14 12 -0.4
M. McGhee IV 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 2 6 +4.3
H. Kitenge 23 7-10 1-1 1-1 7 6 1 0 3 16 17 -5.3
C. Smith 18 1-3 0-2 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 3 0 -3.4
M. Simcoe 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 5 +3.9
Z. Clark 12 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 2 +3.9
E. Kipruto 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.7

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ward 38 4-8 1-3 2-2 3 5 1 1 4 11 9 -0.3
C. Williams 35 5-8 0-2 7-8 2 1 5 0 3 17 14 -
J. De La Cruz Monegro 32 5-10 1-3 14-14 6 1 0 0 1 25 21 -0.2
K. De Luna 28 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 3 4 -0.1
B. Cofield 26 7-10 0-0 3-7 5 1 4 1 2 17 16 -0.3
K. Garris 25 6-11 2-5 4-5 3 0 3 0 0 18 13 -4.4
L. Seaman 12 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 +4.2
D. White 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter