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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davis 43 10-24 0-0 11-15 14 7 1 1 3 31 27 -
J. O'Garro 42 8-15 2-4 2-5 8 2 2 1 2 20 16 -
L. Hughes Jr. 38 3-11 1-7 5-5 3 1 0 0 0 12 5 -
M. Fofana 31 6-13 0-0 2-5 14 2 2 2 0 14 21 -
J. Brinson 24 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 2 2 0 0 0 9 -
J. Evans Jr. 16 2-9 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 -4 -
D. Loury 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Lewis 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
J. Chisolm 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Szymczyk 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Shaw 42 5-13 3-7 9-10 4 5 1 0 3 22 16 -
A. Mahaney 38 5-16 5-11 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 19 7 -
C. Smith 38 5-13 1-6 5-6 3 3 0 0 2 16 7 -
H. Kitenge 34 1-1 0-0 5-7 11 3 0 3 3 7 20 -
M. McGhee IV 29 4-9 3-7 2-2 7 3 0 0 3 13 11 -
Z. Sensley 27 2-11 1-9 1-2 11 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
M. Simcoe 9 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Keat Tong 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
E. Kipruto 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
L. Zuffelato 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter