Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.4 | ✗ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davis | 43 | 10-24 | 0-0 | 11-15 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 27 | - |
| J. O'Garro | 42 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| L. Hughes Jr. | 38 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| M. Fofana | 31 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 21 | - |
| J. Brinson | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Evans Jr. | 16 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -4 | - |
| D. Loury | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Lewis | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Chisolm | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Szymczyk | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Shaw | 42 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| A. Mahaney | 38 | 5-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith | 38 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| H. Kitenge | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 20 | - |
| M. McGhee IV | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Z. Sensley | 27 | 2-11 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Simcoe | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Keat Tong | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Kipruto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Zuffelato | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter