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2025-11-08

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 22.3% 77.7% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 23.1% 76.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Log Adjusted 29.4% 70.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Washington * 39 3-11 1-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 9 -2 -3.0
B. Roseborough * 37 4-9 3-5 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 12 8 -0.0
C. Garland * 33 11-13 0-0 8-9 3 4 1 0 1 30 24 -8.9
S. NgaNga * 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 6 4 +5.5
A. Myers * 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -16.1
M. Bell Jr. 24 4-5 0-1 4-6 5 0 1 0 1 12 12 -
Y. Moundi 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 5 2 0 -9.9
P. Goodarzi 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -9.2
D. Langford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.6

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mahaney * 37 6-12 5-9 0-0 0 6 0 0 2 17 9 +6.3
M. Little * 35 4-7 1-3 2-2 8 6 2 0 0 11 20 +10.9
C. Smith * 33 8-11 4-6 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 24 17 +7.8
J. Fontenet II * 26 1-2 0-1 2-6 1 1 1 0 2 4 3 +6.8
H. Kitenge * 22 3-8 0-0 4-5 3 1 1 1 3 10 5 +4.1
C. Shaw 16 4-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 9 6 +3.1
Z. Sensley 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 -1.9
M. Simcoe 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 4 +3.2
E. Kipruto 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.8

* = starter