Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.4% | 17.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney | 39 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 6 | - |
| C. Shaw | 38 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| C. Smith | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. McGhee IV | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Z. Sensley | 27 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| H. Kitenge | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | - |
| M. Simcoe | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kipruto | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Worthy | 38 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Daniel-Dalton | 37 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Perteete Jr. | 31 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A. Henderson | 31 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| O. Grady | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| BJ Kolly | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Jones | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Waller | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter