Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +10 (85-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mahaney | 40 | 5-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Z. Sensley | 38 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Smith | 37 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Shaw | 37 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| H. Kitenge | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Z. Clark | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Simcoe | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Kipruto | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rocak | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Daughtery Jr. | 30 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Sevilla | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Wilson | 29 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| B. Fagbemi | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| J. Stokes | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Chappell | 17 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| N. Cooper | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| O. Suljanovic | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter