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Texas Tech

Also known as: Texas Tech Red Raiders, Texas Tech
Program History

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

80.3
PPG
73.1
Opp
+7.2
Margin
46.8%
FG%
39.1%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
36.7
RPG
15.6
APG
10.8
TO
67.5
Est. poss./game

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1259 (#26) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1332 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ†’ 1100 (#52) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ†’ +20.0 (#18) -
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ†’ +17.1 (#21) -
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.788 (#49) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More โ†’ Unavailable Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More โ†’ Unavailable Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More โ†’ Unavailable Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ†’ 0.841 (#18) -
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ†’ 0.706 (#27) -
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More โ†’ Unavailable Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26 More โ†’ Unavailable Not published: possession data incomplete for 2025-26
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ†’ 1264 (#30) -

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Lindenwood Lions W 98 - 60
2025-11-07 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 98 - 77
2025-11-11 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 77 - 81
2025-11-14 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 80 - 63
2025-11-20 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 84 - 83
2025-11-21 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 86
2025-11-26 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 82 - 50
2025-11-30 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 76 - 72
2025-12-07 vs LSU Tigers W 82 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 86 - 93
2025-12-16 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 101 - 90
2025-12-20 @ Duke Blue Devils W 82 - 81
2025-12-28 vs Winthrop Eagles W 87 - 57
2026-01-03 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 102 - 80
2026-01-06 @ Houston Cougars L 65 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 73 - 71
2026-01-14 vs Utah Utes W 88 - 74
2026-01-17 vs BYU Cougars W 84 - 71
2026-01-20 @ Baylor Bears W 92 - 73
2026-01-24 vs Houston Cougars W 90 - 86
2026-01-31 @ UCF Knights L 80 - 88
2026-02-02 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 64
2026-02-08 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 70 - 63
2026-02-11 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 78 - 44
2026-02-14 @ Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 75
2026-02-17 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 67 - 72
2026-02-21 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 100 - 72
2026-02-24 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 80 - 68
2026-02-28 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 82 - 73
2026-03-03 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 65 - 73
2026-03-07 @ BYU Cougars L 76 - 82
2026-03-12 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 53 - 75
2026-03-20 vs Akron Zips W 91 - 71
2026-03-22 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 65 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JT Toppin JT Toppin - 27 32.3 20.2 10.0 2.0 1.3 1.6 2.3 15.8 17.0 144 20 7.2 8.3 54.8 28.1 57.9 3.04 57.6 56.7
Christian Anderson Christian Anderson - 33 38.4 18.5 3.6 7.4 1.5 0.2 3.3 13.1 14.8 219 27 8.1 8.6 47.2 41.5 80.5 2.55 63.1 59.7
Donovan Atwell Donovan Atwell - 34 34.7 13.5 3.2 0.8 1.2 0.1 0.4 9.3 9.1 224 28 8.0 9.0 46.3 45.8 84.1 5.06 68.6 67.0
LeJuan Watts LeJuan Watts F 33 27.3 11.8 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2 2.5 9.1 9.5 83 27 3.1 4.5 43.3 32.1 76.9 -1.36 54.0 47.5
Jaylen Petty Jaylen Petty - 33 30.4 9.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.9 8.2 7.5 204 27 7.6 10.0 40.6 37.5 77.1 3.16 55.8 53.3
Josiah Moseley Josiah Moseley F 14 13.9 5.5 3.6 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.6 3.6 6.8 - - - - 68.6 50.0 36.4 - 68.9 71.6
Luke Bamgboye Luke Bamgboye F 21 16.5 4.5 3.4 0.5 0.3 1.7 0.6 2.9 6.8 83 16 5.2 13.7 50.8 0.0 71.1 1.78 58.2 50.8
Tyeree Bryan Tyeree Bryan G 33 17.1 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 3.4 3.5 36 27 1.3 3.4 35.1 28.6 66.7 -1.93 47.4 45.0
Leon Horner Leon Horner - 24 8.6 2.7 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.2 2.8 58 18 3.2 15.7 46.2 36.4 86.7 1.83 55.5 50.0
Marial Akuentok Marial Akuentok - 15 5.9 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.1 1 11 0.1 0.5 50.0 100.0 30.8 -2.82 48.0 54.2
Nolan Groves Nolan Groves - 23 5.8 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 11 15 0.7 4.7 23.8 23.5 58.3 -2.96 40.0 33.3
Jazz Henderson Jazz Henderson - 13 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 29 9 3.2 27.6 33.3 50.0 50.0 1.52 42.7 41.7
Jack Francis Jack Francis - 15 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -7 9 -0.8 -23.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2.76 0.0 0.0
LaTrell Hoover LaTrell Hoover F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Former Texas Tech players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Texas Tech game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG
T. Shannon Jr. 2019-22 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves + G League 2 GP 2 21.0 11.5 2.5 1.0
Jaylon Tyson 2022-23 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 1 24.0 3.0 6.0 2.0
Mac McClung 2020-21 G League Windy City Bulls 28 37.4 31.8 3.5 8.0
Zhaire Smith 2017-18 G League Oklahoma City Blue (2 teams) 33 35.6 20.8 5.1 4.2
Chance Mcmillian 2023-25 G League Santa Cruz Warriors 29 30.5 17.0 4.1 5.1
K. McCullar Jr. 2019-22 G League Westchester Knicks 10 31.8 16.8 5.4 6.7
Vladislav Goldin 2020-21 G League Sioux Falls Skyforce 24 22.9 11.2 7.1 1.5
K. Evans 2014-18 EuroCup LONDON LIONS 4 24.9 11.8 0.8 2.8

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-10-23 T. Shannon Jr. NBA Minnesota Timberwolves @ Orlando Magic 22 13 4 1 Box
2026-10-22 Jaylon Tyson NBA Cleveland Cavaliers @ Philadelphia 76ers 24 3 6 2 Box
2026-10-21 T. Shannon Jr. NBA Minnesota Timberwolves @ Miami Heat 20 10 1 1 Box
2026-10-21 K. Evans EuroCup REGULAR SEASON LONDON LIONS @ U-BT CLUJ-NAPOCA 24 12 1 3 Box
2026-10-16 Vladislav Goldin NBA Preseason Miami Heat @ Orlando Magic 7 4 2 0 Box
2026-10-16 T. Shannon Jr. NBA Preseason Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls 16 6 0 4 Box
2026-10-15 K. Evans EuroCup REGULAR SEASON LONDON LIONS vs SKYLINERS FRANKFURT 27 9 1 2 Box
2026-10-13 Zhaire Smith NBA Preseason Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers 5 7 1 1 Box
2026-10-13 K. McCullar Jr. NBA Preseason New York Knicks @ Toronto Raptors 18 4 3 2 Box
2026-10-13 Jaylon Tyson NBA Preseason Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic 25 12 3 1 Box
2026-10-12 Zhaire Smith NBA Preseason Oklahoma City Thunder @ Atlanta Hawks 11 5 1 0 Box
2026-10-12 K. McCullar Jr. NBA Preseason New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves 7 2 0 2 Box
2026-10-11 Jaylon Tyson NBA Preseason Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic 21 13 2 1 Box
2026-10-10 Vladislav Goldin NBA Preseason Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves 23 18 6 2 Box
2026-10-06 Zhaire Smith NBA Preseason Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans 14 2 1 0 Box
2026-10-06 K. Evans EuroCup REGULAR SEASON LONDON LIONS vs LA LAGUNA TENERIFE 25 21 0 2 Box
2026-10-05 K. McCullar Jr. NBA Preseason New York Knicks @ Philadelphia 76ers 10 6 4 1 Box
2026-10-03 Vladislav Goldin NBA Preseason Miami Heat @ Toronto Raptors 7 6 1 0 Box
2026-03-27 Chance Mcmillian G League Santa Cruz Warriors vs Texas Legends 37 17 6 3 Box
2026-03-24 Mac McClung G League Windy City Bulls @ Birmingham Squadron 42 59 5 10 Box
2026-03-24 Chance Mcmillian G League Santa Cruz Warriors @ Salt Lake City Stars 37 20 6 6 Box
2026-03-22 Mac McClung G League Windy City Bulls @ Birmingham Squadron 39 22 5 4 Box
2026-03-22 Chance Mcmillian G League Santa Cruz Warriors @ Stockton Kings 24 11 2 8 Box
2026-03-20 Mac McClung G League Windy City Bulls @ Capital City Go-Go 43 41 5 6 Box

2025-2026 Shot Zones

2068 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Toppin37% Toppin45% Toppin34% Petty45% Anderson34% Atwell22% Atwell38% Atwell39% Anderson39% Atwell36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Toppin25% Toppin37% Toppin33% Anderson31% Anderson25% Atwell38% Atwell35% Atwell29% Anderson39% Atwell30%
Misses: who misses most here

Christian AndersonJT ToppinDonovan AtwellJaylen Petty

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 297-445 66.7 594 JT Toppin 37% (218 pts) LeJuan Watts 15% (90 pts) JT Toppin 25% (37 misses) LeJuan Watts 23% (34 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 203-430 47.2 406 JT Toppin 45% (182 pts) LeJuan Watts 26% (104 pts) JT Toppin 37% (85 misses) LeJuan Watts 28% (64 misses)
Mid-range left 29-77 37.7 58 JT Toppin 34% (20 pts) Jaylen Petty 31% (18 pts) JT Toppin 33% (16 misses) Christian Anderson 19% (9 misses)
Mid-range center 11-27 40.7 22 Jaylen Petty 45% (10 pts) Christian Anderson 36% (8 pts) Christian Anderson 31% (5 misses) Jaylen Petty 19% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 44-105 41.9 88 Christian Anderson 34% (30 pts) JT Toppin 18% (16 pts) Christian Anderson 25% (15 misses) JT Toppin 23% (14 misses)
Left corner 3 23-49 46.9 69 Donovan Atwell 22% (15 pts) Jaylen Petty 22% (15 pts) Donovan Atwell 38% (10 misses) Tyeree Bryan 27% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 26-60 43.3 78 Donovan Atwell 38% (30 pts) Jaylen Petty 35% (27 pts) Donovan Atwell 35% (12 misses) Jaylen Petty 35% (12 misses)
Above-break 3 left 113-323 35.0 339 Donovan Atwell 39% (132 pts) Christian Anderson 30% (102 pts) Donovan Atwell 29% (61 misses) Christian Anderson 24% (51 misses)
Above-break 3 center 105-262 40.1 315 Christian Anderson 39% (123 pts) Donovan Atwell 28% (87 pts) Christian Anderson 39% (61 misses) Jaylen Petty 21% (33 misses)
Above-break 3 right 117-290 40.3 351 Donovan Atwell 36% (126 pts) Christian Anderson 24% (84 pts) Donovan Atwell 30% (52 misses) Christian Anderson 22% (38 misses)