Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +28 (100-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 36 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | -11.1 |
| David Castillo | 35 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Nate Johnson | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | -5.4 |
| Taj Manning | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -9.8 |
| Khamari McGriff | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -8.6 |
| CJ Jones | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -22.8 |
| Andrej Kostic | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -15.8 |
| Dorin Buca | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -5.5 |
| Marcus Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Atwell | 38 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | +23.0 |
| Christian Anderson | 38 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 23 | +19.4 |
| Jaylen Petty | 31 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | +17.7 |
| LeJuan Watts | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +8.1 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +8.4 |
| Marial Akuentok | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Josiah Moseley | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +9.3 |
| Tyeree Bryan | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2.9 |
| Nolan Groves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.7 |
| Jazz Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Leon Horner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| Jack Francis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter