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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 73.2% 26.8% -
Bradley-Terry 56.5% 43.5% -
Margin 65.8% 34.2% -3.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.8% 26.2% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -19 (73-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson 38 9-15 8-10 0-0 3 6 1 0 4 26 17 -
JT Toppin 33 10-16 0-0 2-3 4 2 1 0 3 22 10 +4.0
D. Atwell 31 7-10 7-10 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 21 17 +4.1
L. Watts 29 4-6 0-1 5-6 7 1 3 0 4 13 14 +4.1
J. Petty 29 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 3 2 +4.1
T. Bryan 28 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 7 9 -0.8
M. Akuentok 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9
N. Groves 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.9
L. Horner 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.9
J. Francis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.9

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carr 37 7-12 1-4 3-4 9 5 3 1 2 18 22 +1.6
T. Yessoufou 34 4-14 1-7 0-0 2 1 4 0 0 9 2 -5.8
O. Agbim 32 2-5 0-2 3-5 0 4 1 0 2 7 5 +1.3
M. Rataj 30 3-8 1-2 0-1 6 0 1 0 1 7 5 +1.1
D. Skillings Jr. 23 4-8 2-4 2-6 4 1 0 0 3 12 6 +4.9
I. Williams IV 22 4-5 2-2 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 11 9 +7.0
C. Powell 20 4-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 1 3 9 7 -3.7
J. Nnaji 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter