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2025-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% -
Bradley-Terry 14.9% 85.1% -
Margin 2.1% 97.9% +21.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 11.5% 88.5% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +11 (101-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Bloch 39 6-10 4-6 1-1 5 8 1 0 3 17 18 -1.8
V. Delano 34 7-13 2-4 0-1 2 3 0 0 2 16 6 -1.9
R. Nyeri 33 4-7 1-4 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 9 10 -2.2
B. Wisne 31 13-21 2-6 1-2 5 5 0 0 1 29 17 -0.1
A. Mawien 24 3-5 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 7 4 +0.3
I. Yamazaki 23 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -2.0
H. Caldwell 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
E. Shields 8 2-2 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -1.8

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson 38 5-11 2-7 2-2 4 6 2 0 1 14 14 -
L. Watts 37 12-13 3-4 9-11 6 4 1 0 2 36 32 +4.1
D. Atwell 34 3-8 2-7 2-2 5 0 1 0 0 10 8 +3.3
JT Toppin 34 10-15 2-2 1-3 3 1 0 5 0 23 17 +2.3
J. Petty 33 3-6 3-5 5-5 2 0 1 0 0 14 11 -0.2
T. Bryan 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 0 2 +3.1
L. Bamgboye 7 2-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 +4.0
J. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.3
L. Horner 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
N. Groves 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
J. Francis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter