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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 47.0% 53.0% -
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% -
Margin 62.1% 37.9% -2.7 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 34.6% 65.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.3% 22.7% -
Log Adjusted 77.6% 22.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +4 (90-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Flemings 38 15-26 4-9 8-10 2 6 2 0 2 42 24 +0.9
M. Uzan 38 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 6 3 -
E. Sharp 35 6-16 3-8 5-5 0 0 0 0 0 20 4 +0.8
J. Tugler 23 0-1 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 1 1 4 11 +0.8
R. Walker Jr. 18 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Cenac Jr. 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 8 +0.9
K. Sakho 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +0.6
I. Harwell 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. McCarty 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JT Toppin 40 12-24 0-5 7-8 12 3 0 0 2 31 20 -0.5
C. Anderson 40 2-9 1-7 7-8 4 9 0 0 4 12 12 -
D. Atwell 37 5-8 5-8 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 18 16 -0.5
J. Petty 31 5-8 4-6 4-4 8 0 0 0 0 18 18 -0.5
L. Watts 22 0-8 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 3 1 -0.5
T. Bryan 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Moseley 10 2-3 2-2 0-2 6 1 0 0 1 6 9 -0.6
N. Groves 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter