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2026-03-22

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 41.6% 58.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.1% 67.9% -
Margin 33.1% 66.9% +3.9 (21.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% -
Efficiency 90.6% 9.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% -
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +25 (90-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Petty 37 3-12 0-5 3-4 5 3 0 0 0 9 5 -
C. Anderson 37 2-11 1-7 2-2 1 3 4 0 2 7 2 -
D. Atwell 31 3-6 2-5 4-4 2 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
L. Watts 25 5-14 1-4 5-6 7 1 1 1 5 16 7 -
L. Horner 21 3-7 0-1 4-5 3 1 2 0 1 10 8 -
L. Bamgboye 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 4 -
J. Moseley 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 3 -
J. Henderson 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Groves 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
T. Bryan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Akuentok 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Francis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Philon 35 2-12 2-8 3-4 6 12 0 0 4 9 11 -
A. Allen 26 5-13 0-4 2-3 4 4 1 2 1 12 9 -
L. Wrightsell Jr. 26 7-10 6-9 4-5 4 1 2 0 1 24 20 -
H. Mallette 25 5-8 5-7 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 15 16 -
T.B. Bowen 25 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 2 2 0 5 11 -
L. Jemison 21 2-7 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
A. Sherrell 17 4-4 1-1 1-1 2 1 2 1 1 10 11 -
N. Williamson 13 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 8 8 -
J. Bethea 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Murphy Jr. 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Martin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter